The chart of the day is courtesy the SRSrocco report and is a comparison of the increase in the S and P 500 and its P/E ratio since 2011 relative to its change in earnings. A pretty big divergence is seen with earnings growth lagging far behind. Either the earnings growth has to catch up or prices have to come down in line with the sub par earnings growth observed.
About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Tuesday 7 June 2016
Sunday 5 June 2016
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning June 6
Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2099, 0.00%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
8221, 0.79%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
2939, 4.17%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1247, 2.57%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
48.90, -1.33%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Copper
|
2.12, 0.43%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
610, 0.66%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.136, 1.80%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
106.53, -3.37%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow
Transports
|
7730, -0.54%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
35.13, 0.13%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
1.70%, -7.94%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
843, 15.23%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
13.47, 2.67%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2072, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2070, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2011, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
7954, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
7836, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
7777, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
14.99, -1.74%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
66.78, -0.37%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
9
|
10
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
5
|
5
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
Sand P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish.
Markets
are challenging resistance again. Time to tighten those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
Australia
– Rate decision, New Zealand – Rate decision,
U.S
– Janet Yellen speech, U of Mich. consumer confidence, Canada – Employment
data, India - RBI rate decision
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The Sand
P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty rallied last week. Signals are bullish for
the upcoming week. The Vix is suggesting complacency. The markets are back at resistance
and are likely to continue major breakdowns in 2016 after this rally concludes.
The critical levels to watch are 2110 (up) and 2080 (down) on the S & P and
8250 (up) and 8150 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above
levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out
last week’s report for
a comparison. You can also check out support
and resistance levels of the S
and P 500 and Nifty Indices. Love
your thoughts and feedback.
Labels:
baltic dry index,
bearish,
bond yield,
bullish,
china,
copper,
euro,
gold,
investing,
nifty,
nyse,
oil,
rupee,
S and P 500,
stock market,
stock signals,
trading,
transports,
vix,
yen
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday 2 June 2016
Interesting Take on the Stock Market and Gold
Are markets manipulated?, Here is an interesting take from our partners at the The WallStreet Window:
The Ugly Truth About Stock Market Manipulation and Gold Prices - Mike SwansonWe all know the financial markets move in cycles and I have been a big advocate of using the 200-day moving averages to figure out where you are in a financial market cycle and then to invest accordingly.
If you do that for gold the story is very simple. Gold began a stage two bull market this year when gold prices decisively went through their 200-day moving averages so much that those moving averages are now trending up and we can expect them to act as support for the next three to five years at the minimum, because that is how long most bull markets last.
Right now though most people are scared of gold and worried that the entire move this year could be a fake manipulation or that some giant drop is going to happen. Gold went up towards the $1,300 level and pulled back off of it this month.So that price action has caused peoples’ brains to get worried and for the meme of market manipulation to spread in gold.
The reality is that when a new bull market starts in something the people who buy into it are almost always professionals with a real knowledge of the sector that they are investing in attracted to cheap valuations and future potential and insiders.
The masses tend to miss the first move and to get involved only after something goes up for months on end. Really they tend to miss the first year and start to get in the second year. We all know that big swings in investor psychology take place during market cycles and I have used this graphic in past articles to show that.
Today I want to talk to you about an important trend I have discovered and that is something interesting happens in a market when the market meme of manipulation gets popular.
Take a look at this.This is a graphic from Google Trends showing the amount of interest over time for the phrase “market manipulation.”
This chart spikes up when people suddenly start to type that phrase into their search engine and falls when people have no interest in it anymore. Okay now look at this chart of the S&P 500.
I’ve placed arrows on the chart to show when interest in market manipulation got high.
What I want you to notice that times in which people began to think about “stock market manipulation” and type that phrase in google search were good buy times in the stock market.
They all came after either corrections in a bull market or around the time of key stock market bottoms.
Now take a look at when people typed in the phrase “gold manipulation.” You may need to scroll the graphic to the right to see what is happening now.Yes big spikes in people searching for “gold manipulation” came after big declines in gold or pullbacks within a bull market. In fact there has been a bit of a spike in people searching for this term in the past few weeks.
The last time it spiked was in July. That of course was a great buy point for mining stocks as it marked a final bottom in many of them.The entire sector rallied off of that low and made a successful retest in January and has been going up ever since.
I got to thinking about this because of something I heard from a financial copywriter. This guy helps to create the big Stansberry and Peter Schiff style promotions you see on the internet and advertised on Yahoo Finance. What this guy said is that during a bull market people get greedy and then during a bear market they get scared.
But AFTER a bear market or big decline they simply get angry. Instead of taking responsibility for their losses and learning from them and making changes they just blame them on others. There is a reason most stock market small fries stay small fries forever.
I have been investing and trading since the late 1990’s and after that 2000-2003 bear market I saw lots of people in the mainstream stock market world blame Wall Street analysts for their losses.
They became the demons of the day. People who held overvalued stocks for big losses blamed the analysts for telling them to hold instead of admitting to themselves that they were fools to have believed in them and the tech bubble in the first place.
Then of course in 2008 people blamed the banks and stock manipulators instead of admitting to themselves that they missed the big change in trend.You see what happens is that the meme of stock manipulation becomes popular when people lose money and get angry about it.
I personally never thought about manipulation when I got into the trading world. I simply took it for granted that there is some degree of manipulation going on in all markets, but it doesn’t really matter in the long-run and in the end you need some sort of strategy for making money and picking out individual stocks and trades.
The first the time I bought a share in a mining stock was back in 2002, because stage analysis told me that gold stocks were going into a new bull market and they did. Around April of that year I went to my very first mining conference.What I found surprised me.
Just about everyone there was talking about gold manipulation, but the idea never entered my head before then and I thought it was really silly to worry about. I couldn’t see how anyone could make money trying to figure out the specifics of such things and it seemed like it was creating a giant fear for these people when they should have been bullish and buying more.
I was happy holding my stocks watching them go up while all of these people were just obsessed with manipulators.What I see clearly now is that many of those people had suffered in the bear market before that and were simply using the meme of gold manipulation to make sense of the pain they suffered.
Now fast forward to today and you can see that while gold has begun a new bull market this year interest in gold manipulation has grown anyway in the past month.That shows you that the masses are still skeptical and scared of gold and unable to pull the trigger and do buying. It shows that people are getting shaken out of rallies.
When many people are scared of manipulation it makes for a good time to invest. What is funny is when no one is thinking about manipulation it’s a sign that the sentiment is extremely bullish for a market.You see when people are making money they no longer care if something is being manipulated or not.
If you want to talk about manipulation the most obvious manipulation in the world right now is going on in front of us in the US stock market, because you can see it in corporate filings if you examine the number of buybacks many corporations have been doing. Let me show you an example.
Target shares topped out last year and went into a nasty decline that continued into January.
But after making a January low they went on a magic straight up rally. Well in the first quarter ending on January 30, 2016 Target bought back $1.23 billion dollars worth of its own shares while making only $1.42 million in net income.
It was a massive share buyback operation. At the same time the Target board of directors and insiders dumped a massive amount of their own shares. In fact over the past six months they have liquidated over 15% of their own holdings and they did this before the share crash you see in May. That happened when Target released a bad earnings report that also lowered their forecast for future retail sales saying that the consumers were tapped.
This is all legal, but it looks like an obvious manipulation. This type of thing is happening with stocks all over the stock market, but no one cares. This legal type of stock market manipulation is a fact that can be demonstrated and isn’t theory.You can do the research and look it up for stocks across the board in the United States and you should do this yourself with any stocks you may own.
But no one cares, because almost everything thinks they are in a big bull market and are too lazy to look at the balance sheets and to see if there has been heavy insider selling or not in their stocks.
CNBC tells them everything is ok and so many believe in CNBC, because they do not want to do any real research or work.
The big take away is look at how no one cares about manipulation in the US stock market now while with gold some are obsessed over it. That’s the tale of two markets with one just starting a new bull market this year and one all wobbly eight years after the start of its last bull cycle.
I talked about what people need to do and look for with gold and individual stocks in an interview I did on the Jim Goddard show the other day.
For more on this visit our partner Michael Swanson on his website www.wallstreetwindow.com.
Labels:
buy back,
gold,
manipulation,
stock market
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Stock Market News
Amazon Deals
World Indices
Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com
Market Insight
-
-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s Quad Injury Could Impact Close To Thunder’s Season - Set to potentially miss his second consecutive game with a quad injury on Friday, Oklahoma City Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's situation is worth m...34 minutes ago
-
-
The “Mystery Illness” That Has Been Spreading Among Cattle In Texas, Kansas And New Mexico Has Been Identified, And It Isn’t Good News - Officials had been greatly puzzled by a “mystery disease” that has been making dairy cattle in Texas, Kansas and New Mexico very sluggish and has been ca...4 hours ago
-
Deep State Good, Total Surveillance State Even Better - *So the Deep State is good, but the Total Surveillance State is even better. * *The Deep State and The Total Surveillance State are viewed unfavorably for...4 hours ago
-
Market Talk – March 28, 2024 - ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 decreased 594.66 points or -1.46% to 40,168.07 Shanghai increased 17.52 points or 0...5 hours ago
-
S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 28.52 +0.03 (0.11%) 4:00 PM EDT, Thu Mar 285 hours ago
-
Three Stocks: Tesla, Palantir, and CarMax - Three Stocks: Tesla, Palantir, and CarMax Tesla Dan Ives of Wedbush joined forces with Deutsche Bank to provide a double “buy reiteration” of Tesla (TSLA) ...7 hours ago
-
Thursday links: how we perceive the world - Fund management - Target date funds held some $3.5 trillion in assets though 2023. (pionline.com) - BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT) now...8 hours ago
-
IFG Advisory LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) - IFG Advisory LLC boosted its position in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO – Free Report) by 2.1% during the 4th quarter, according to the company in its ...9 hours ago
-
Bull Market Status Report: What Sector Is No. 1 Now? - The bull market is charging higher and expanding into different sectors. Here's what that means for tech stocks and more going forward. The post Bull Mar...9 hours ago
-
Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy? - “Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: Our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.” – Daniel K...12 hours ago
-
The FRED Blog turns 10! - Ten years ago, we started the FRED Blog with the idea that we could demonstrate the power of FRED, the intricacies of data, and the relevance of economics....12 hours ago
-
Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...14 hours ago
-
Debt Rattle March 28 2024 - Giotto Lamentation 1306 • The Most Astounding Feature of the Assange Case (Paul Craig Roberts) • Rule by Criminals: When Dissidents Become Enemies of t...15 hours ago
-
ICT Silver Bullet Strategy | Darya Filipenka - The ICT Silver Bullet Strategy is a time-based algorithmic trading model for all assets. For the 10 AM Silver Bullet strategy, focus on 10-11 AM, using fai...22 hours ago
-
Investor Alert: Starbucks' Legal Challenges Raise Questions About Stock Viability - Earlier this month, three Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) customers, Maria Bollinger, Dawn Miller, and Shunda Smith, filed a $5 million class-action lawsuit a...1 day ago
-
Easter weekend market closures 2024 - Multiple markets will be closed to celebrate Easter on Friday, 29th of March and Monday, 1st of April. Details of trading schedules can be found *here*. ...3 days ago
-
Divergence to Watch - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Divergence to Watch appear...4 days ago
-
Gold Hits New High As Federal Reserve Turns Super Dovish To Set Stage For Coming Bubble Bust - Last week, the Federal Reserve turned super dovish with its FOMC statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference. Coming into this year, the Fede...4 days ago
-
More Food Inflation Is Coming - [image: wheat and gold prices] Inflation numbers of all sorts have calmed down since the wild days of Covid shutdowns messing up the supply chains. But ...6 days ago
-
Striking Gold: How to Catch a Once-in-a-Decade Breakout Move - In trading, timing is everything. Catching that massive breakout move that can deliver life-changing gains is the dream of every trader. And according to...1 week ago
-
Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...2 weeks ago
-
Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications - In the context of valuing companies, and sharing those valuations, I do get suggestions from readers on companies that I should value next. While I d...5 weeks ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!1 month ago
-
-
Teaching Johns Hopkins A Privilege Lesson - by Not Sure01/12/24Johns Hopkins Hospital Chief Diversity Officer Sherita Hill Golden sent a letter out essentially implying that all people who don’t look...2 months ago
-
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...4 months ago
-
If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.5 months ago
-
It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and it remains to be seen if all my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. If my writing on economi...8 months ago
-
Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
-
2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
-
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
-
After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
-
How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.1 year ago
-
12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...1 year ago
-
Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...1 year ago
-
-
Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
-
Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...2 years ago
-
Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...2 years ago
-
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.2 years ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
-
Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
-
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
-
November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
-
Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
-
2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
-
Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...3 years ago
-
The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...3 years ago
-
-
Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...3 years ago
-
One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
-
-
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...4 years ago
-
Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
-
Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
-
Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...6 years ago
-
Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...6 years ago
-
Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
-
Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
-
August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...14 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
-
Australian Dollar Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Long AUD/USD Downtrend May Be Fading at Last - This article concentrates on the fundamental outlook for the Australian dollar, analyzing market catalysts and key drivers that are expected to exert signi...1 hour ago
-
Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Retail watches from the sidelines with a bias for shorts - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com1 hour ago
-
Event Guide: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (February 2024) - Heads up! The Fed’s preferred inflation measure is up for release soon. Can this reinforce their relatively upbeat outlook?6 hours ago
-
USD/CAD edges lower on strong Canadian GDP - The Canadian dollar is slightly higher on Thursday. USD/CAD is trading at 1.3537 in the North American session, down 0.23%. Canada’s GDP rebounds with 0.6%...7 hours ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
-
Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...12 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
-
Tokyo inflation slowdown, output slide clouds BOJ#39;s rate hike outlook - [image: Tokyo inflation slowdown, output slide clouds BOJ#39;s rate hike outlook] Core consumer price index (CPI) in Tokyo, an early indicator of nationwid...21 minutes ago
-
Trading Without Emotion Is it Possible ? - In this business, letting your emotions control you will lead to disaster. Instead, you need to have a powerful mindset, or what we call the Trader’s Psy...11 hours ago
-
Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.9 months ago
-
-
ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...2 years ago
-
JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
-
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...5 years ago
-
Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
-
Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...6 years ago
-
Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
-
Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
-
Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...7 years ago
-
ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...7 years ago
-
My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.